Employment & Capital Spending Outlooks Strengthen

January 2011 survey conducted by the National Association for Business Economics (NABE) confirms that the underpinnings of the U.S. economy continue to strengthen. The survey notes that U.S. companies' employment outlook improved to a 12-year high this quarter. On capital spending, 62% of respondents said they planned to boost capital spending, up from 48% last quarter.

Shawn DuBravac, chief economist of the Consumer Electronics Association said, "The number of firms expressing positive hiring plans is at a level not seen in over a decade - a sign of improving labor-market dynamics. Supporting these hiring plans, industry demand continues to move higher, and profit margins are expanding." DuBracac added, "Firms are increasing their plans for future capital spending. A majority of respondents anticipate no increase or decrease in investment spending or employment in response to new tax policies, suggesting business decisions are being driven by the fundamentals of an improving economy."

Survey highlights included the following:

·  Expectations for economic growth have improved significantly. Over the last quarter, NABE panelists have become more optimistic. A majority (62%) assumes real GDP growth of 2% to 3% in 2011, and one in five panelists is building business plans based on an outlook of 3% to 4% economic growth.

·  Employment continues to improve, with 34% of firms reporting larger workforces compared to only 13% a year ago. The share of firms cutting jobs shrank, from an average of 13% over the past three quarters to 6% currently. The current NRI is the highest level it has been since 1998. The hiring outlook for the next six months also looks more robust - 42% of respondents indicated their firms will be increasing employment, up from 39% last quarter and 29% in January 2010. The employment outlook NRI hit a 12-year high.

·  The share of firms increasing their capital spending from the previous quarter rose slightly from the prior survey to 38%, while only 6% of panelists reported cutbacks in their firms. Expectations for future capital spending improved significantly, with 62% of respondents reporting higher planned expenditures, up from 48% last quarter.

·  As for the expected impacts of the proposed 2011 tax package, more than half (53%) of the panelists, especially those from the goods-producing sector, anticipate a favorable impact on their firm's sales. In contrast, a majority of the respondents (60%) said they do not anticipate any increase or decrease in investment spending or employment in response to new tax policies.